Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047503 0.051664 0.055880 0.060464 0.065300 0.070244 0.075673
2024-10-13 0.041376 0.047553 0.054040 0.061333 0.069277 0.077642 0.087088
2024-10-20 0.035493 0.042988 0.051128 0.060561 0.071129 0.082541 0.095736
2024-10-27 0.031795 0.040385 0.049999 0.061439 0.074563 0.089037 0.106095
2024-11-03 0.027985 0.037256 0.047937 0.060970 0.076256 0.093441 0.114043
2024-11-10 0.025202 0.035050 0.046705 0.061248 0.078641 0.098521 0.122703
2024-11-17 0.023120 0.033486 0.046060 0.062068 0.081545 0.104129 0.131944
2024-11-24 0.022363 0.033486 0.047248 0.065053 0.087008 0.112751 0.144761
2024-12-01 0.019508 0.030550 0.044580 0.063116 0.086372 0.114027 0.148831
2024-12-08 0.017565 0.028661 0.043101 0.062537 0.087291 0.117088 0.154974
2024-12-15 0.015943 0.027078 0.041906 0.062217 0.088453 0.120388 0.161372
2024-12-22 0.015424 0.026992 0.042662 0.064402 0.092768 0.127573 0.172535
2024-12-29 0.014502 0.026293 0.042588 0.065532 0.095815 0.133309 0.182105
2025-01-05 0.013569 0.025513 0.042355 0.066420 0.098548 0.138677 0.191279
2025-01-12 0.012172 0.023923 0.040901 0.065588 0.098986 0.141131 0.196833
2025-01-19 0.011427 0.023283 0.040752 0.066505 0.101710 0.146487 0.206043
2025-01-26 0.010346 0.022019 0.039626 0.066005 0.102503 0.149348 0.212110
2025-02-02 0.009573 0.021194 0.039093 0.066296 0.104330 0.153530 0.219856
2025-02-09 0.009011 0.020678 0.038986 0.067161 0.106916 0.158693 0.228867
2025-02-16 0.009044 0.021188 0.040451 0.070310 0.112659 0.168025 0.243287
2025-02-23 0.007871 0.019472 0.038394 0.068265 0.111190 0.167848 0.245445
2025-03-02 0.007116 0.018441 0.037350 0.067653 0.111665 0.170208 0.250866
2025-03-09 0.006481 0.017574 0.036519 0.067316 0.112493 0.173020 0.256873